I published my strategy POV on agentic commerce in November 2025, predicting that autonomous agents would fundamentally reshape how people buy online. The headline was clear: "When AI Does The Shopping For You - What You Need To Know."
Two days ago, Google validated everything I wrote, and then raised the stakes considerably.
They've just announced the Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP) - an open standard for agentic commerce co-developed with Shopify, Etsy, Wayfair, Target, and Walmart, and endorsed by over 20 major players including American Express, Mastercard, Visa, Best Buy, Macy's, The Home Depot and Stripe. This isn't Google building another feature. This is Google building the infrastructure that will power how every agent - theirs, ChatGPT's, Perplexity's, or any future platform - completes purchases on your behalf.
If you read my November piece and thought, "interesting, but this feels far away," congratulations, you're now officially behind. The timeline just compressed dramatically, and the brands that aren't ready are about to get left behind.
Let's be precise about what changed. Google didn't just launch another shopping feature; they've built the foundational infrastructure for agent-driven commerce across the entire ecosystem.
The Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP) establishes a common language for agents and systems to operate together across consumer surfaces, businesses, and payment providers. Instead of requiring unique connections for every individual agent, UCP enables all agents to interact easily. It works across the entire shopping journey - discovery, buying, and post-purchase support - and it's compatible with existing protocols like Agent2Agent (A2A), Agent Payments Protocol (AP2), and Model Context Protocol (MCP).
Think about what this means practically. Before UCP, every agent platform would need custom integrations with every retailer. ChatGPT would need one integration, Google's agents would need another, Perplexity would need a third. That fragmentation would slow adoption for years. UCP solves this - build one integration, and every agent that implements the protocol can transact with you.
Business Agent launches this week, allowing shoppers to chat with brands directly on Search like a virtual sales associate. It answers product questions in the brand's voice, connects with consumers during critical shopping moments, and will soon enable direct purchases, including agentic checkout, within the experience. Some retailers like Lowe's, Michael's, Poshmark, and Reebok are already live.
New Merchant Centre attributes designed specifically for conversational commerce go beyond traditional keywords to include things like answers to common product questions, compatible accessories, and substitutes. These help retailers get discovered in surfaces like AI Mode, Gemini and Business Agent.
Direct Offers in Google Ads lets retailers present exclusive discounts to shoppers who are ready to buy, directly in AI Mode. Instead of waiting for shoppers to visit your site and apply coupons, you can feature special offers (like 20% off) at the point of discovery.
Agentic checkout is expanding to power purchases on eligible Google product listings in AI Mode and the Gemini app, allowing shoppers to check out from eligible US retailers right as they're researching. Retailers remain the seller of record with the ability to customise the integration, whilst capturing sales and avoiding abandoned carts.
Our November POV detailed how ChatGPT's Agent mode and Google's early agentic features were creating a fragmented future where brands would need different strategies for different platforms. We were right about the direction, but Google just changed the game by standardising the infrastructure.
November reality: ChatGPT agents select the first result 63% of the time, rely on Bing Search API 92% of the time, and only 17% successfully convert because websites block them with CAPTCHAs, slow load times, and poor technical setup. Google was launching agentic checkout with select merchants (Wayfair, Chewy, Quince, Shopify). Two separate systems require different optimisation strategies.
Today's reality: Google is building open infrastructure so ALL agents can transact using a common protocol. This isn't a walled garden; it's standardisation, which means the timeline for mass adoption has just been compressed by years. When major platforms agree on standards (like they did with schema.org, for example), adoption explodes. UCP will accelerate agent-driven commerce adoption faster than anyone predicted, including us.
The advice we gave in November - audit your agent-readiness, fix bot blocking, optimise for text-based browsing, design confirmation pages as primary touchpoints - just became 10x more urgent. We were preparing clients for a future that might arrive in 12-18 months. Google just moved the deadline to Q2 2026.
When competing platforms agree on technical standards, adoption moves from "early adopter phase" to "mainstream phase" almost overnight. Schema.org is the perfect example - structured data went from niche technical SEO to standard practice within two years of Google, Microsoft, Yahoo, and Yandex agreeing on the format.
UCP has that same coalition - Google, Shopify, Target, Walmart, plus endorsements from every major payment provider and retail platform. This isn't one company's protocol that might or might not gain traction. This is industry consensus, which means it will become the standard, and it will happen fast.
For your business, this means the "wait and see" approach just became impossible. By the time you're certain this is the future, your competitors will already be live and capturing agent-driven conversions.
In November, we talked about optimising separately for ChatGPT agents (which use Bing API and text-based browsing) and Google's features (which use Shopping Graph data). That approach is already outdated. With UCP, you're not optimising for individual platforms anymore - you're optimising for the protocol itself.
This actually simplifies things. Get your product data comprehensive and accurate, implement UCP properly (or ensure your platform does it for you), and you're visible to every agent that adopts the standard. Miss this, and you're invisible across the entire agent ecosystem - ChatGPT, Google, Perplexity, and whatever comes next.
The stakes just got significantly higher. It's not "should we optimise for ChatGPT agents?" anymore - it's "are we implementing the protocol that will power all agent-driven commerce?"
If you're on Shopify, WooCommerce, Adobe Commerce, or BigCommerce, you're in luck - these platforms co-developed UCP with Google and will implement it for their merchants. If you're on other platforms or running custom builds, you need to understand your provider's roadmap immediately.
Call your platform provider this week and ask:
When are you implementing the Universal Commerce Protocol?
What does merchant implementation look like?
Are you in Google's pilot for Business Agent?
What's the timeline for agentic checkout support?
If they don't have clear answers, you've got a platform problem that's about to become a business problem. The brands on forward-thinking platforms will be capturing agent-driven conversions whilst you're still trying to get basic support.
Google is launching this with pilot partners first, then expanding. Business Agent goes live tomorrow with Lowe's, Michael's, Poshmark, and Reebok. Agentic checkout is starting with eligible US retailers. Direct Offers is in pilot with Petco, e.l.f. Cosmetics, Samsonite, Rugs USA and Shopify merchants.
Notice the pattern? The brands working with Google now will dominate agent-driven conversions for 6-12 months whilst competitors scramble to catch up. They'll capture the early adopter audience, learn what works, and optimise their approach whilst everyone else is still implementing basic protocol support.
This is the same dynamic we saw with voice search, mobile commerce, and every other platform shift - early movers capture disproportionate value, and the gap compounds over time.
Contact your platform about UCP implementation timeline
Request access to any pilot or early access programmes
Audit your product data feeds NOW - the same issues we identified in November (incomplete reviews, vague returns policies, delivery windows instead of dates) are now 10x more critical
Apply for Business Agent if you're eligible (US retailers through Merchant Centre)
Review Direct Offers pilot eligibility and consider joining
Test your current site against the November POV checklist (bot accessibility, form optimization, confirmation page design)
Build agent-testing into your QA process - test every major journey with ChatGPT Agent mode and Google's features
Develop post-conversion strategy treating confirmation pages as primary human touchpoint
Implement measurement framework for agent-driven traffic (it'll appear as direct traffic, so you need separate tracking)
Call your platform provider and get their UCP roadmap
If answers are vague or non-committal, seriously consider platform migration
Implement everything from our November POV immediately - semantic HTML, bot accessibility, proper forms instead of mailto: buttons, trust cues on decision gates
Get a clear answer from your provider about protocol support with specific deadlines
Audit whether your current platform can support the technical requirements (structured data, payment protocol integration, agent-friendly browsing)
If you're enterprise with development resources, start planning direct UCP integration
Make the platform decision - migrate to a UCP-ready platform or build integration yourself
Start implementation immediately once you have clarity
Accept that you're behind early movers and need to move faster than comfortable to catch up
Your product feeds aren't just accuracy exercises anymore - they're how agents decide whether to recommend you. Prioritise:
Review volume (minimum 100 per variant to avoid being filtered out)
Returns policy clarity ("Free 30-day returns" not "See website for details")
Explicit warranty duration (2-year warranty vs manufacturer warranty)
Delivery certainty ("Delivers Tuesday" not "3-5 days")
Size/fit confidence data and guides
Answers to common product questions (this is now a Merchant Centre attribute)
Compatible accessories and substitutes (also new attributes)
The agent's "belief" about your product is built entirely from structured signals. If your data is incomplete or vague, you don't get recommended.
In our November testing, 63% of agent first clicks immediately bounced because of bot detection, CAPTCHAs, slow load times or unexpected redirects. If agents can't access your site, they move to competitors who've fixed this.
Audit your bot detection rules immediately. Stop whitelisting good bots (you can't keep up with every agent platform) and start blacklisting clearly malicious traffic only.
In November, I argued that the confirmation page would become your new homepage. Behavioural science makes this a mathematical certainty. When an agent handles the discovery, comparison, and checkout, the human only enters the loop at the very end. This creates a high-stakes psychological moment where Post-Purchase Rationalisation is either cemented or collapses into buyer's remorse.
If the agent is the "executor", the confirmation page is the "reassurance engine". You need to optimise for two specific behavioural triggers:
Humans judge an experience based on how they felt at its peak and its end. In agentic commerce, these two moments happen simultaneously on your confirmation screen.
Remove Friction, Add Affirmation: Don't just say "Order Confirmed". Use high-velocity trust cues like "Best Price Secured" or "Fastest Delivery Method Chosen" to validate the agent’s "choice".
Goal-Gradient Progress: We know people move faster as they approach a goal. Show them they are 90% of the way to "Product in Hand" to reduce the likelihood of cancellation.
There is a sense of anxiety when a machine spends a human's money. To counter this, your confirmation page must provide Cognitive Ease through extreme data transparency:
Explicit Certainty: Replace "3-5 days" with "Arrives on Tuesday". Ambiguity is the enemy of agentic conversion.
The "Human-in-the-Loop" Safety Net: Highlight "UK support <2 mins" or "Instant Cancellation" prominently. The user needs to know that whilst an agent started the journey, a human can still stop it.
Agents use structured data, but humans use social signals.
Rounded Social Proof: "98,000 customers completed this journey last month" isn't just a stat—it's a signal to the human brain that the agent's "recommendation" is backed by the "herd".
Everything coming from agents appears as direct traffic in GA4. You need separate tracking to understand:
Agent-driven conversion volume and value
Which products/categories agents recommend most
Conversion rate for agent-referred traffic vs traditional sources
Desktop/Chrome spikes that indicate agent activity
Path-to-conversion patterns that differ from human browsing
Set this up before you have significant agent traffic so you're measuring from day one, not trying to implement tracking after the fact.
This isn't about Google launching features. This is infrastructure being built, like when credit cards standardised payment rails or when HTTPS became universal for secure transactions. Google making UCP open-source and building it with industry consensus means they believe this is the future of commerce and want to enable it industry-wide, not capture it exclusively.
The brands that dismissed our November POV as "too early" or "interesting but not urgent" are now behind. The timeline compressed. The infrastructure is being built right now, pilot partners are already live, and mass rollout is coming in months, not years.
2026 won't be "the year of agentic commerce as an emerging trend" - it'll be "the year brands who weren't ready got left behind whilst early movers captured disproportionate value."
We wrote the November POV before Google announced the Commerce Protocol. We've been preparing clients for this shift for months, and now the infrastructure is being built in real-time. If you're reading this wondering whether your business is ready for agent-driven commerce, the answer is probably no - and that's a problem you need to fix now, not in Q2 2026.
We predicted this shift months ago. We've built the frameworks for becoming agent-ready. We're working with clients to implement now, whilst competitors are still trying to understand what's happening.
Book a discovery strategy call with me to:
Audit your current agent-readiness across technical infrastructure, product data and conversion optimisation
Understand your platform's UCP roadmap and whether you need to migrate
Build your implementation plan with specific timelines and priorities
Get ahead of this shift whilst there's still first-mover advantage to capture
The infrastructure is being built. The pilot partners are live. The timeline compressed.
Are you ready? Book a strategy call with me to make sure your business is ready for AI-driven commerce.
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Azeem champions strategic thinking across Reflect Digital and its clients. His role involves designing and supporting the implementation of innovative client strategies, contributing to new business growth, and strengthening Reflect Digital's reputation as a leader in performance marketing.
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